

Bitcoin has shaken off its holiday slumber and broken out of weeks of tight consolidation. After holding the US$90K - US$92K range, price is now testing resistance at US$95K, a critical level. A decisive break above this zone could open the door to US$98K, then the psychological US$100K mark that traders and options desks are already positioning for.
The backdrop is supportive. January flows have been strong, with US spot ETFs pulling in US$471M on Jan 2 alone, led by BlackRock’s IBIT. That’s institutional money setting the tone, not just retail chasing headlines. Add Bank of America enabling 15,000 advisers to recommend Bitcoin ETFs, and the distribution pipes are widening at scale.
Seasonality adds fuel. The so-called Santa rally carried momentum into January, and historically Q1 favours risk assets when liquidity is supportive. But traders should keep an eye on key support zones at US$92K and US$90K. If ETF inflows stall or macro throws a curveball, think rates volatility or a hawkish Fed tone, those levels become the line in the sand.
For now, the bid feels earned. Corporate buyers like Strategy are still adding, options flow is leaning bullish, and sentiment is improving. But the path to US$100K won’t be a straight line. Watch volume on any break above US$95K, if it’s thin, expect profit-taking before the next leg.
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